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As Peter Drucker once said, “The purpose of business is to create and keep a customer”. Embracing new technologies and business models seem nowadays a must-do to achieve significant sustainable top-line growth or even stay in the game.

The majority of our fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) clients are however concerned about slow growth. Right now, most incremental growth is coming from new, disruptive business models. Small, asset-light, regional competitors are getting the lion’s share of growth while large established companies seem unable to organically innovate at scale.

“Surely we ought to be able to create a successful DTC model with our top brands and internal capabilities without spending this kind of money, but how?”

Business leaders often embark on a digital transformation with no clear and distinctive focus. Before they know it, their entire organization is experimenting with all kinds of digital initiatives in the hope that this will defend against disruption. Incubators are set up to start scouting start-ups, but with only a vague idea of what they are looking for start-ups are often bought without a clear idea of the role they are meant to play within the total business portfolio. To add to the challenge, the price tag often seems steep. A CEO we recently spoke to summed up his reaction to Unilever’s acquisition of Dollar Shave Club for $1 BN (5xRevenue) as an expensive learning platform for Direct to Consumer (DTC): “Surely we ought to be able to create a successful DTC model with our top brands and internal capabilities without spending this kind of money, but how?”

“Who is really making money from their digital bets? Is there really a pay-back?”

Most large companies are finally concluding that ‘letting a thousand flowers bloom’ without a clear overall plan or structure does not cut it. Many CEOs often find themselves overwhelmed, and uncertainty is followed by scepticism: “Who is really making money from their digital bets? Is there really a pay-back?” These kind of reactions are not unreasonable but the intermediate and often mediocre outcome of early experiments is sometimes confused with the greater need and purpose because – make no mistake – the business landscape is being transformed and no one can afford to watch from the sidelines.

We want to explore some of the CEO's most critical questions right now:


1. How can I find new ways to generate profitable growth?

2. Is digital purely a channel shift or can it truly generate growth?

3. How do I decide between alternative ideas? How do I focus my investments?

4. How do I effectively get started now? Should I be a first mover or a follower?


In the work we do with our clients, we follow a structured and pragmatic approach in addressing these questions.


1. How can I find new ways to generate profitable growth?

We approach the growth challenge from three complementary lenses:

Unlocking value by increasing penetration with higher physical availability of existing value propositions – broadening the range of geographies, channels or consumer groups you serve – in particular in market segments with disproportionate growth for maximum tailwind.

Supercharging value creation by increasing penetration and share of wallet with stronger customer value propositions which increase mental availability (by augmenting consumer/brand emotional connections and loyalty), by building communities around your critical mission, by responding to customer needs in a faster, more agile way, and potentially locking-in consumers and by going beyond-the-product and delivering value-adding adjacent services that consumers are willing to pay for.

Disrupting how value is created by helping non-consumers to overcome barriers to consumption (wealth, skill, access and time), and by addressing new consumer jobs to be done with novel value propositions and experiences, providing a complete solution to a consumer need, occasion or event and ultimately elevating the consumer need to a new level (e.g. from “build me a better running shoe” to “help me perform”).

These three levers are not mutually exclusive and focus will differ by type of business, level of maturity and degree of consumer engagement. While there is often an obsession with disruption, what companies sometimes forget is that there can be lots of unexplored headroom for growth in the other levers. Sustainable growth requires a portfolio of levers.


2. Is digital purely a channel shift or can it truly generate growth?

In our view, digital can support you Unlocking value by ensuring maximum physical availability. This is ultimately about getting the digital basics right but has the potential to drive significant value in multiple ways:

  • From stepping up your Category Management capabilities to optimize presence at digital retailers through simple digital changes that often pay off significantly. For example, Coty improving the imagery quality for COVERGIRL on Amazon boosted online sales by 46%

  • Using content to drive a life-style based consumer experience while collaborating to ensure consumers can reach you, at the right time. For example, Diageo has partnered with Amazon Prime to create a new travel series that inspires but also leads to purchase

  • Hitting the market with a new product fast – numerous clients are asking for digital only launch plans

  • Scaling-up small brands and new product introductions profitably through differentiated DTC models

  • Managing category and product portfolio in major digital platforms such as Amazon through Online Category Management (OCM)

  • Controlling your pricing through Dynamic Digital Pricing (DDP)

  • Increasing penetration with broad targeting using mass customized advertising, e.g. Facebook

  • Using data availability to instantly shift resources to further benefit from pockets of growth, e.g. geographies with increasing online/offline demand

Digital as an enabler to Supercharging value creation is about focusing on maximizing mental availability and engaging with consumers well beyond the product and their purchase. Brands that are successful in this, benefit from increased loyalty and drive long term value, e.g.:

  • Innovative DTC models aiming to connect and increase the switch barriers with digital-first consumers, e.g. Younique, Honest Beauty, Warby Parker and Glossier

  • Nike creating a ‘portable’ Omni-channel experience to directly support, enhance and accelerate the customer journey. Julep championing crowd-driven product development

However, be careful! If misguided it can also create a massive PR nightmare as illustrated by the recent Pepsi/Kendall Jenner ad fiasco
  • The right execution to demonstrate brand values can bring massive payout in the form of earned media and increased brand loyalty, as proven by these campaigns: Dove’s “Real Beauty”, Heineken’s “Open Your World”, AXE’s “Is It Ok for Guys?”, and Volvo’s “The Epic Split feat. Van Damme”. However, be careful! If misguided it can also create a massive PR nightmare as illustrated by the recent Pepsi/Kendall Jenner ad fiasco

  • Burberry’s “Art of the Trench” is the epitome of creating a dialogue between consumers and turning user-generated content into a powerful social media platform that creates a real community

Finally, to Disrupt digital provides the connectivity and platforms that enable brands to deliver outcomes rather than products. Whether it is mobility, beauty, health improvements or just an enjoyable social event, digital is a key enabler to create the full service offering and total consumer experience.

There are the obvious examples in travel with Uber and Airbnb, but there are also outstanding success examples in consumer goods:

More than half Domino's worldwide sales now come through digital channels!
  • Domino’s Pizza transformation from pizza-delivery to a world leader in digital ordering platforms that happens to sell pizza, has resulted in unprecedented business performance (from $8.8 per share in 2010 to over $200 by May 2017). This is a great example of overcoming the time and access barrier to consumption. The company has reinvented itself completely during the last seven years after hitting an all-time low back in 2008, dropping nearly 90% over 18 months. The crisis inspired a customer-focused transformation that has made the company a digital leader. It started with a clear goal: making ordering so drop-dead simple, across so many channels, that customers would not even have to think about it. Today, customers can order their pizza by text message, tweet, instructing Siri or Amazon Echo, or automatically by simply opening the company’s Zero Click app launched in 2016. By becoming a digital business Domino’s has created a virtuous cycle and can quickly test, evaluate and adjust using advanced data analytics to learn from consumers, and more than half Domino's worldwide sales now come through digital channels!



  • Nike is another notable company that has broadened their vision and used digital as an enabler, shifting its objective from selling trainers to getting people to run. Their entire digital eco-system and platform are created around this aspiration.


3. How do I decide between alternative ideas? How do I focus my investments?

Many CEOs ask us how to prioritize all these digital initiatives and where to focus on. For a company which has established how they want to Unlock, Supercharge and/or Disrupt and the specific role of digital can play, prioritization becomes easy. This doesn’t mean that you shouldn’t be testing and investigating new options, instead this provides the broad focus areas and criteria those experiments should be assessed against.

To do so, be more deliberate and specific about what you expect digital to do for your customers and how it will help grow the company. As you take a more structured, portfolio approach to digital, do not forget the economics! This should ultimately be about real incremental profitable growth, not experimentation for its own sake. What we often recommend is to institutionalize a venture capital-like, disciplined approach to digital initiatives with clear stage gates and deliberate choices around resource allocation. We can write another chapter on that topic, to follow next.


4. How do I effectively get started now? Should I be a first mover or a follower?

The focus of the effort should be in experimentation and learning, however we do believe that to ensure the right direction is set, a short visioning upfront is required. For each level of growth – Unlock, Supercharge, Disrupt – specify the strategic priorities and what role digital can play. The more the company is aiming to disrupt – and not everyone can or should – the more the vision needs to clearly articulate what the company/ business is aiming to stand for from a consumer perspective and what needs, occasions or outcomes they want to own. This can require some effort upfront.


Once this is established the search fields and opportunity areas for incubators, the venture capital priorities and the digital experiments assessment criteria should all follow logically. This becomes the desired portfolio, together geared to deliver the company’s aspiration.


The initiatives should then be managed as a portfolio with ruthless review and prioritization, and no issues about culling experiments and initiatives to ensure the portfolio is sufficient, aligned and optimized to reliably and predictably deliver.

The approach, governance and expectations are likely to differ depending on the growth lever being addressed:

  • Unlock initiatives are likely to hold the quick wins and should be managed to shorter timeframes and specific financial KPIs. Most likely the ownership will sit with existing business units. These initiatives should be generating value in 12-18 months… or probably stopped!

  • Supercharge and Disrupt initiatives need to be managed differently. The KPIs are likely to be broader, more partnerships are required and at least initially governance should not sit with the business units to ensure focus and a distinction from the current thinking, as well as any constraints such as short-term focus and inappropriate incentives. However, the scalability of these initiatives has to be kept in mind-don’t let them drift too far from how they will ultimately drive sustainable profitable value.


 
 
 


There is a fundamental disconnect between the abundant chatter about disruption and the actual ability to achieve it. As a result, many FMCG companies appear to be stuck and are bound to miss the train yet, I claim, unnecessarily so. A brighter future lies ahead for those who take the trouble to embrace and apply the magic code that was deciphered twenty years ago.  

In my earlier post on the Global Consumer Goods Forum I referred to a sentiment of partying at the Titanic. The circumstances for disruption are just too much present today. This concern is shared by many. My meeting with the CEO and Executives of Direct-to-Consumer units of two large consumer goods companies pointed this out again as they all appeared to ponder the same question. Will their niche be disrupted and, if so, when will it happen and what can they do about it?

However, in many a FMCG board room, the lens and language needed to adequately assess the situation are lacking, let alone to debate the right solution.

Should Executives in beauty care be worried about brands such as Beauty Pie that offer luxury skincare and cosmetics at what appear to be factory prices? Or, should the pharmaceutical industry be worried about Amazon getting into medical products? Or, might activist investors such as those targeting Nestlé (Daniel Loeb) and PepsiCo (Nelson Peltz) also target your business? And, what to make of the acquisition of Dollar Shave Club at five times revenue ($1b) and the 25% drop in EBITA in one of P&G’s most profitable businesses?

These issues do not simply stand on their own. They all point at the same pattern, a pattern that emerged from research by Clayton Christensen back in 1997. 

A quick reminder: take Dollar Shave Club, for example. Disruption happens: 1. when a new company enters a category where consumer needs are “overshot” with an offering that wrong-foots the performance of the incumbent’s offering; 2. when a new offering is constantly improved eventually to hollow out the broader customer base of the incumbent; 3. when the incumbent chooses to ignore the entry market, thus allowing the entrant to gain a foothold.

When looking at the broader consumer goods industry, these three serial mishaps will occur more than ever. The pattern is on steroids!

The disruptive pattern in FMCG is on steroids ! Understand why and what to do

1. There will be more entrants with products and services that wrong-foot the offerings of established players. Barriers to entry protecting FMCG majors have vanished, and consumers increasingly turn their backs on major brands.

FMCGs were traditionally protected by barriers to entry involving, for example, brand, talent, manufacturing capacity, access to consumers and capital. Disruptive offerings that wrong-foot established products now simply flatten these barriers. Remember, this wave is building. In 2015 alone, 270 FoodTech Startups received $5.6 Bn funding (on average $20m) compared with 130 start-ups receiving $2.1 Bn (on average $16m) in 2014. This does not just involve 20 year-olds. The industry veteran, Sue Y Nabi, former President of Lancôme, successfully launched the “Orveda” brand this way. In parallel, consumers increasingly turn their backs on major brands. As we report in A.T. Kearney’s 2017 Global Future Consumer Study, over 50% of consumers in UK, France, Japan, and the US say they do no longer trust large corporations and global brands.


2. Direct consumer access and AI-powered analytics accelerate the entrants' ability to improve performance and hollow out the incumbent’s broader customer base.

The ultimate test that says whether an entrant’s offering has disruptive potential is as follows. Can an entrant consistently and effectively improve the performance of an offering while keeping its sustainable competitive advantage? Not all offerings can. For example, to compete with a luxury hotel, you are bolted on a similar cost-base. However, direct consumer access and AI-powered analytics will help to carve out and grow a niche into market by identifying evermore crucial consumer preferences, so new formulas and tweaks can be tested and launched in no time


3. Pushed by activist shareholders, incumbents tend to be locked on short-term results. The last thing they want is to attack a disruptor head-on and risk immediate margin losses.

Here is the third key to disruption: the incumbent’s “asymmetric motivation”. To paraphrase Clayton Christensen:

“With resource allocation processes designed and perfected to support sustaining [margin improvement] innovations, they are constitutionally unable to respond. They are always motivated to go upmarket, and almost never motivated to define the new or low-end market that the disruptors find attractive”.

CEOs of leading FMCGs are generally aware, yet struggle to change the internal resource-allocation system. Not surprisingly, they are sometimes lured into implementing harsh rules including capping performance bonuses. Some are targeted by activist investors who crank up the pressure on quarterly performance. As one former COO formulated it:

You have to understand, we simply don’t have the time to think about these matters”.

Yet, this is what Leaders really should do! To go by the example of the new Ford CEO, Jim Hackett: Draw three circles representing the near, mid and long term, then balance your attention across.

So what can FMCG leader s do?

1. While the pressure builds, create slack to think and assess what is truly happening.

Assess how the future may unfold in your category. Are you headed toward the proverbial cliff? Evaluate the category. Is it “overshot”? Is consumption constrained? The nature of entrants: address foothold customers with different criteria than yours and, their ability to move upmarket. What is the direction in which resource allocation mechanisms push your company?

2. Tweak the asymmetric motivation as the first step to solve the dilemma.

Steve Jobs called ‘the Innovator’s Dilemma’ “deeply moving” and solved it. He tweaked the motivation towards customer value-creation rather than financial value-creation. He then followed through with a set of specific measures to build the new, by now codified and documented. This is needed to predictably and reliably deliver disruptive initiatives.

If your company is already feeling the pain, change the thinking, as once observed: "We cannot solve our problems with the same thinking we used when we created them" - Albert Einstein



About the author:

Bas Kemme is a management consultant and former emerging markets apparel strategist and entrepreneur. He believes that for societal progress, companies should become constant transformers able to solve more customer problems for more people, and that this is only possible with the right insights. Bas helps companies formulate strategy, build capability to innovate and grow, and accelerate corporate change projects including digital business model innovation. Bas is also frequently approached for advice on how to establish an entrepreneurial and innovation-eager culture. 



For further reading:

  • 'The innovator's dilemma', Clayton Christensen. Theory that explains how the mechanism of profit-maximizing resource allocation causes well-run companies to get killed. 

  • 'The innovator's solution', Clayton Christensen, Michael Raynor. Set of theories to guide managers to grow new business with predictable success - to become the disruptors rather than the disruptees 

  • Steve Jobs Solved the Innovator’s Dilemma by James Allworth, HBR 2011



 
 
 




A former colleague once lightened up the arduous appraisal meeting presenting a critical 'up or out' evaluation as a criminal case: Did that person have the means motive and the opportunity to do what we expect?

Bigger, more disruptive ideas are expected these days.

Finding new sources of growth is a must, to close the growth gap for shareholder value, or, to survive. Depending on the life stage one is in. However, in conversation with clients we hear that their organization "just generates incremental ideas".


There is a huge gap between aspiration, and the reality.

Companies are in hyper-activity mode: Everyone wants to work with a startup and sends innovation scouts to the Silicon Valley. Corporate VCs, hackathons and start-up competitions pop-up left and right. The innovation theater in full swing. But no results. Real innovation is different. Moving forward big ideas can be irritating and confronting. Going against established policies and wide-held believes infuriates people, as did Galileo Galilei’s heliocentric models. True innovation will be questioned, even from your closest kin. It can be painful, scary, messy, full of dead ends. Should we start a riot with uncertain outcomes? No, innovation is focused and structured creativity of the kind architects apply when envisioning landmark buildings.

So, how do you create co-conspirators in your innovation coup? Give people the means motive and opportunity to act with you, for you. Here is how.


MEANS

1. Hand out the tools to find unmet customer problems.

It may sound trivial, but for many companies, in B2B in particular, having a dialogue with the customer about their job to be done does not happen. To quote Theodore Levitt, “People don’t want to buy a quarter-inch drill, they want a quarter-inch hole." The right questions need to be asked (5x Why). New words are to be learned to even express what we’ve learned: Jobs. Circumstances. Hiring criteria. Workarounds. Barriers to consumption. All critical to explore the land of unsolved needs.

It was the biggest revelation from a participant during a joint session hosted by Clayton Christensen in Boston last summer. Crudely summarizing Clayton: "...In B2B, it is simple, your customer’s job is to make money. Ask him how he can make more money" The participant, a former global Key Account Manager, then revealed that the question was never asked at his company.

A structured approach to overcoming this, is the working backwards process as applied by Amazon. Employees submitting an idea need to file a one-page press release describing the customer problem and how it is solved in such a way that it is understood by ordinary people. This forces tech-savvy engineers to ask the right questions, to listen and observe and find how they can be of superior service to the unmet needs of their customers. It drives people into falling in love with the problem, not one specific solution.


2. Teach people to tell a captivating story

Start with a common innovation language. Once language is set, master the art of storytelling. Not long ago I met with engineers from one of the world’s leading oil exploration companies. They were full of brilliant ideas. The ideas rarely received management approval. Business opportunities were lost. The engineers described technically ingenious details and held lengthy presentations on all potential risks. A different tack was required. All great stories have a well-known formula: The situation outlines the environment of your plot. Enter the villain providing the complication, the customer problem to be solved. This is then resolved by the white – or black – knight, your solution. Three simple steps to build the story, done.



MOTIVE

3. Inspire by purpose

Organizations transforming the world explicitly state their mission to do so. It is the source back in the day at NASA, where a janitor confided to John F. KennedyI work here Mr. President to put a man on the moon”. And would Tesla ever be shaking up the established automotive industry without the ambitious vision to “accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy”? And how about Dove's "inner beauty", triggering the tear-jerking Dove Beauty Sketches? A clear motive calibrates the compass needle to pull peoples’ thoughts and activities to a distant vision. It is what gets people to do the impossible. Oh, and this is not just ‘a millennial thing’

“That business purpose and business mission are so rarely given adequate thought is perhaps the most important cause of business frustration and failure”
Peter Drucker, 1973

4. Guide by well-defined search fields.

Would you know where to search if your lighthouse is called “block-chain”, or “digital disruption”? This may sound trivial, but I regularly see teams struggle with this. Instead, as I observed at a chemicals manufacturer, define the sources of future growth as loosely quantified Strategic Opportunity Areas: the intersection of a large customer group, a customer problem worth solving, and a potential technology and/or business model pointing at a possible.


5. Encourage not discourage.

Build an atmosphere that honors the hard work necessary to succeed in the stony, iterative approach to real transformational ideas. The following three components build such inspiring environment:

  • Provide clear goals & boundaries ensuring teams work on problems and solutions that are on strategy and avoid the pursuit of fruitless paths. I once sat through a day of project reviews on which people directed their entire energy over the past six months. Half of those presented were shut down by Management for reasons that could have been clear from the get-go. Some tears, opportunity lost. Define therefore, what is desirable, what is off the table, and what can be discussed.

  • Promote de-risking of critical assumptions and expect setbacks that can be corrected by high-velocity decision making correcting for mistakes before they become hurtful. Jeff Bezos in his 2016 Shareholder Letter explains it all.

  • Show from the top that innovation is about “to keep learning and improving” as Microsoft’s Satya Nadella shared per email to his company, immediately after a AI team had to shut down an out of-control chat bot.




OPPURTUNITY

5. Review explicit, and implicit idea prioritization criteria active at your company.

Most managers follow a set of values, including their own incentive schemes, that result is short-term margin oriented thinking. The idea does not make it to the CEO who might have a different perspective. Thus, the present cost structure determines business cases and limits opportunities to take on exponential growth journeys. I find this a great insight in how companies operate, as vividly described in Clayton Christensen's 'The Innovator's Solution'. Also, it is safer, cheaper, and requires less efforts to just come up with incremental improvements, than game changing products. An appliances executive confined to me recently that:

Only troubled BUs come up with really new ideas as they have nothing to loseall others continue to develop the next version”.

Another example: The CMO of leading Consumer Goods company mentioned that re-balancing financial, NPV driven thinking versus consumer job orientation is one of the critical challenges facing the company today.


6. Enable interaction with strangers.

The magic happens at the intersections of different, driven people searching for new endeavors. Companies pursuing strategies to become agile radically redesign their office layouts to encourage seemingly random meetings. Classic examples are Steve Job’s famous Pixar Studios, designed for people to meet spontaneously, or the Impact Hub network where entrepreneurs can co-work and sharpen their emerging business plans. GE merged these ideas and invites university staff and students alongside with entrepreneurs to visit and collaborate on inspiring ideas at GE FirstBuild.

***

Following these ideas, your colleagues become partners-in-crime to spark truly disruptive innovation ideas.


Concluding with a quote within the theme:


“You know my methods. Apply them,” - Sherlock Holmes.


 
 
 
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